Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.566656 0.626351 0.690751 0.765569 0.850318 0.943588 1.054349
2025-09-28 0.452804 0.531314 0.622331 0.736356 0.876372 1.043963 1.261655
2025-10-05 0.406548 0.496853 0.606858 0.752184 0.941298 1.182090 1.516800
2025-10-12 0.372155 0.469713 0.593347 0.763858 0.996625 1.308782 1.768655
2025-10-19 0.343085 0.444835 0.578137 0.768852 1.040189 1.421022 2.011967
2025-10-26 0.319028 0.423456 0.564310 0.772486 1.079860 1.529510 2.261549
2025-11-02 0.300134 0.406920 0.554821 0.780038 1.124239 1.647769 2.540090
2025-11-09 0.276659 0.381749 0.530544 0.762884 1.128513 1.703548 2.723575
2025-11-16 0.263129 0.369581 0.523713 0.770638 1.171125 1.823328 3.030073
2025-11-23 0.247603 0.353189 0.509083 0.764539 1.190123 1.905235 3.280126
2025-11-30 0.236350 0.342287 0.501737 0.768945 1.226210 2.019237 3.604945
2025-12-07 0.222725 0.326782 0.486020 0.758113 1.234790 2.084872 3.845287
2025-12-14 0.210702 0.313186 0.472643 0.750506 1.249025 2.163834 4.128344
2025-12-21 0.195355 0.293444 0.448136 0.722044 1.223184 2.164840 4.249440
2025-12-28 0.190098 0.289488 0.449017 0.737501 1.279168 2.329675 4.752758
2026-01-04 0.184462 0.284515 0.447772 0.748902 1.328380 2.486751 5.267177
2026-01-11 0.178078 0.277885 0.443215 0.753779 1.365193 2.622519 5.756543
2026-01-18 0.171937 0.271282 0.438221 0.757328 1.399505 2.756941 6.268395
2026-01-25 0.166847 0.266154 0.435429 0.764703 1.442177 2.914871 6.872776
2026-02-01 0.158357 0.254706 0.420717 0.747952 1.432702 2.953592 7.164165
2026-02-08 0.154087 0.250384 0.418539 0.755524 1.475782 3.119639 7.846494
2026-02-15 0.148141 0.242788 0.409926 0.749568 1.488660 3.215137 8.344795
2026-02-22 0.143992 0.238179 0.406533 0.753870 1.524710 3.372045 9.064798